25 April 2006

Stream of Consciousness, Part IV

Phoenix: Kobe Bryant and Lamar Odom shot the Los Angeles back into their series with Phoenix (29 and 21 points respectively). The Suns have to respond in Game 3 and need better performances from their forwards to do so. The Lakers don’t have anyone who can guard Tim Thomas, Shawn Marion, or Boris Diaw, who must put up more than about ten points of 5 for 10 shooting each. Steve Nash needs more help. Furthermore, Phoenix can’t play any defence and will have trouble winning games in this series if they don’t score triple digits.

Detroit: I don’t feel that Detroit is the overwhelming favourite to win the championship. However, they are a good team with experienced players who play hard, play smart, and play together. They also won’t face a challenging opponent until the Eastern Conference Finals (or perhaps the Association Finals).

The Pistons had started the same five players all year - dodging serious injury - but it appears that this streak of good fortune is over. Since changing direction and cutting is critical to Richard Hamilton’s game, the Pistons should consider benching him until his sprained ankle is fully healed. In the Detroit system, Tony Delk or Lindsey Hunter can pick up the slack. The Bucks may win one game, which won’t be that important in the grand scheme of things; the Pistons should ensure that Hamilton is on the floor at 100% vs. Miami and the Western Conference Champions.

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24 April 2006

Is Mike Brown a better coach than Phil Jackson?

According to Mark Stein, Phil Jackson chose to downplay Kobe’s offensive role in Game 1 of the Phoenix-Los Angeles series in order to allow other Lakers to score more - at the risk of losing the game - therefore increasing individuals’ feelings of self-actualisation and the team’s chance to win the series. Interesting idea.

Kwame Brown, Lamar Odom, and Luke Walton went off and the Lakers lost the game. Since the supporting cast played well, does that mean that L.A. is now more likely to win four out of the next six games? Perhaps, but I think it was an unnecessary exercise.

Jackson is smart enough to know that the coaching staff must determine what key goals must be achieved in order to win the championship. "Winning a title" is too abstract and players must focus on concrete objectives instead. Once these "tipping points" have been selected, it is up to the coaches to create the incentives that will drive players throughout the playoffs.

A team must receive contributions from all 7-9 players in the rotation in order to succeed in the playoffs. Happy, motivated, and satisfied players are more likely to play well under pressure. I would hope that an N.B.A. player does not need to score to be happy; they are professional athletes, not eight-year old children. Players at the highest level must have some level of self-motivation and gaps should be filled in by coaches and teammates.

Bill Russell, who won eleven Association championships in his thirteen seasons didn’t need to score to stay motivated. If Havlicek, Cousy, or the Jones "brothers" went off, Russell didn’t care as long as the Celtics won. Playoff wins are too valuable to throw away. Teams built around a superstar must give their guy the ball and ride them as far as they will take them (e.g. LeBron James’ triple-double vs. Washington). Necessary contributions will be made due to the skill, professionalism, and worth ethic of the other players. It would be nice if everyone were happy, but in the end everyone has to perform, on demand, under pressure.

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01 April 2006

Three Lessons for Sam Mitchell

The Toronto Raptors are a frustrating team to watch. After overcoming a double-digit deficit to claw within a single point of near the end of the third quarter, the bottom fell out. Missing dunks, conceding open threes, taking early shots, not getting back in transition, leaving posts wide open -- offence and defence were both disastrous.

The Suns torched the Raptors with the high rub. They’d slip the screen or roll directly to the basket and get dunks and lay-ups, using a cute baseline back-screen to occupy the help defenders.

Lesson #1 for Sam Mitchell: If 5-10 Andre Barrett plays thirty minutes, switching the big on little screen is not an option. My friend thought they should have run and jumped the dribbler using the high screen. Personally, hedging the screen and rotating the other post on to the screener probably would have sufficed.

The Raptors played awful D; no matter what rotation was attempted with that effort, they would have failed. They scored more than twenty eight points in all four quarters and still lost. The Suns shot58% from the field, including 56% from beyond the arc. Boris Diaw, who almost triple-doubled, was guarded by a point most of the game.

Sometimes the Raptors tried to trap the ball. But they were playing at half-speed. When I double-team, I want players to trap aggressively and sprint to recover. These dudes were jogging. Furthermore, a 5-10 player is not going to trap a 6-8 player in the Association. The defenders were late, the trap was beaten, the ball got moved and someone cashed and open three.

The Suns took the lead with a three point shot about eight seconds into the game and never looked back.

Lesson #2: Don’t play at Phoenix’s tempo. The Raptors were guilty of not using enough clock to slow down the game and make Phoenix work on defence.

Morris Peterson and Mike James scored thirty eight and thirty six points respectively. Any decent guard can score twenty five against Phoenix. They play defence like a bunch of turnstiles and allowed too much penetration and too many good looks. They’ll get killed in the playoffs if they do that against a team with forwards. Peterson and James received no help from the forwards.

Lesson #3: Attack Phoenix inside (to be fair the Raptors had no forwards who could ball - Villanueva played poorly). Use posts to play inside-outside. Penetrate and kick to force the Suns to foul. Beat up Marion and Diaw so they have less to give on the offensive end. Although Mike James was feeling the step-back three pointer, other Toronto guards took shots that were low percentage.

Some severely boneheaded plays were made tonight. The Suns are committed to their philosophy and stick to it. The Raptors showed up late to the game, fought hard to get back into it, then mentally checked out for the fourth quarter.

Coach Sam Mitchell said: “They just move the ball and they don’t miss shots.” Really? Perhaps Toronto should game plan for this next time?

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